Wednesday, June 30, 2010

TODAY'S WORST INVESTMENT STRATEGY


I've Been Warning About This For Some Time. A common strategy for today's older investors is reaching for yield. Given the risk in the equity markets and less than 1% money market yields it is not surprising that older investors are trying to squeeze higher yields from their fixed income investments than is prudent in this market. Perhaps the worst strategy involves your friendly banker. In addition to the standard mix of certificates of deposits of varying maturities, your banker often has access to other products that offer higher yields. These are often inappropriate for older clients who don't want to take any risk and who might need access to the funds for future health care or other emergency needs. Here are a few strategies I have observed lately along with their implications.

1. Long Term Certificates of Deposit. I recently consulted with a client who bought a $150,000 certificate of deposit with a 2.5% yield. The maturity was five years. Although he has already received one year of benefits, he has four years to go at this yield. If he holds the CD to maturity, he may do considerably better than 1-year certificates or money market accounts; however, if rates go to 4% this year or next, he is stuck with 2.5% for the next 4 years. This isn't the worst case. This client is now faced with very high costs to provide health care for a spouse who has a chronic illness and requires round-the-clock care. Although the income from this and other investments was more than sufficient to fund ordinary income needs, it won't fund health care needs of the spouse. If it becomes necessary to terminate this CD prematurely, the penalty will undoubtedly exceed the interest collected. FDIC insurance provides piece of mind but it won't protect you if you need the money for catastrophic illness.

2. Special Structured CD's. This same client had a type of CD that I had never seen before. It came through a brokerage company owned by the same bank. At first glance, it appeared to be a standared $100,000, federally-insured 3 year CD with a rate of 4%. Doesn't sound too bad; however, there was another feature of which the investor was not aware. The second and third year interest rate of 4% would only be paid if the S&P 500 index was the same or higher than on the day of purchase. If lower, the interest rate for that particular year was zero. That's right the maximum rate was 4% but the minimum rate was zero. The penalty for early withdrawal was higher than a normal bank CD. This investment was entirely inappropriate for the client. Not only that, but the client had no recollection of being thoroughly advised of this adjustment feature.

3. Annuity Products. Although there is a use for annuity products in certain situations, many clients purchased these because of higher initial interest rates without regard to the other terms. For most clients over 70, annuities are inappropriate due to high surrender charges and low liquidity. The client in this example also had a$100,000 annuity. The terms of the annuity allowed it to be surrendered at no fee if the client or spouse went into a long-term care facility; however, since the client preferred home health care for the spouse, this didn't apply. Annuities are often popular with banks because of the high commissions involved but you need to make sure you know what you are aiming at before you pull the trigger.

Beware Your Friendly Banker. Bankers enjoy a higher degree of trust than other financial services personnel; however, they have conflicts of interest just like stockbrokers and some investment advisors. If your banker is recommending a financial product, look closely at whether he is making this recommendation for his benefit or yours.

4 comments:

  1. I'm a teacher with a 403b which is a tax sheltered annuity. Is it just me or do these things not make any money? I put 10k in last year and 8k the year before and my total is less than 19k. I put 3k in a brokerage account and doubled my money in less than a year. What do you think of the 403b?

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  2. I am not an expert in 403b plans since I have had few clients who were employed by non-profit agancies; however, over the years, I have learned something about them. The point you made in your comments about doubling your money in the market in less than a year is the interesting part of your comment. Unless you are incredibly lucky or brilliant, it is unlikely that you will be able to match that accomplishment any time soon.

    To get back to your question about 403b, my opinion has changed over the years. When I first started in the business, I saw teachers who had accumulated sizeable sums using these. At that time the top tax bracket had just been lowered to 50%. The main advantage of these plans are that contributions are made with before-tax dollars and interest earned accumulates tax deferred. If you are in a high tax bracket, this is a big advantage. At the time many started these plans safe investments paid 12%. The main disadvantage is that the accumulated funds are taxed as ordinary income at the time of withdrawal.

    Fast forward 30 years and top tax brackets are 39.6% (after expiration of the Bush tax cuts) and safe interest rates are in the 3-5% range. While these plans can still be valuable for the lower risk part of your portfolio, there are other disadvantages that make them less valuable at the present. 1. Tax brackets will probably increase so that your withdrawals may be taxed at a higher rate than they were when you made the contribution. 2. The funds are illiquid and early withdrawal could involve large surrender charges and tax penalties. 3. There are management fees within your fund that can run as high as 3%.

    If you want to continue making these contributions, I would suggest you consult an investment advisor who has considerable experience in this area. I know several and would be happy to recommend someone if you would send me an e-mail at pstorms@aol.com

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  3. I stand by the facts of the last comment; however, I did want you to know that I really can spell agencies.

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  4. Thanks on the info. I am actually meeting with a representative from my "mad money" TD ameritrade account and we will talk about Roth's and moving into an IRA, while still keeping the 403b. And yes, I think I got incredibly lucky with my 3K...found a pattern in C. bought in the low $3's and sold just before the $5, twice. While waiting for C to drop after the first sell off I bought calls in Has and P&G and sold them into earnings in Oct 2009. But isn't that how they always reel you in...make you a winner at the beginning. Thanks again for the info, you were actually more informed than anyone I have talk with.

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